Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% for the US taking the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of any military seizure or forcible control amid binding obligations under the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties and perpetual Neutrality Treaty, which Panama has upheld since the 1999 handover. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: in January 2026, Panama's Supreme Court annulled Chinese-linked CK Hutchison port contracts at canal entrances—a diplomatic win for US security concerns over Beijing's influence—while President Mulino declared the crisis resolved. Joint US-Panama security drills like PANAMAX-Alpha in early 2026 and increased bilateral military cooperation, including troop deployments without permanent bases, have enhanced access without violating sovereignty. Escalatory rhetoric from the Trump administration has yielded concessions via diplomacy rather than intervention, with no indications of takeover plans amid high international legal and political barriers. Late-breaking fee disputes or renewed Chinese encroachments could shift odds, but current stability favors non-action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiEvet
$61,189 Hac.
$61,189 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
Evet
$61,189 Hac.
$61,189 Hac.
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% for the US taking the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of any military seizure or forcible control amid binding obligations under the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties and perpetual Neutrality Treaty, which Panama has upheld since the 1999 handover. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: in January 2026, Panama's Supreme Court annulled Chinese-linked CK Hutchison port contracts at canal entrances—a diplomatic win for US security concerns over Beijing's influence—while President Mulino declared the crisis resolved. Joint US-Panama security drills like PANAMAX-Alpha in early 2026 and increased bilateral military cooperation, including troop deployments without permanent bases, have enhanced access without violating sovereignty. Escalatory rhetoric from the Trump administration has yielded concessions via diplomacy rather than intervention, with no indications of takeover plans amid high international legal and political barriers. Late-breaking fee disputes or renewed Chinese encroachments could shift odds, but current stability favors non-action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Piyasa Açıldı: Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ET
Hacim
$61,189Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% for the US taking the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of any military seizure or forcible control amid binding obligations under the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties and perpetual Neutrality Treaty, which Panama has upheld since the 1999 handover. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: in January 2026, Panama's Supreme Court annulled Chinese-linked CK Hutchison port contracts at canal entrances—a diplomatic win for US security concerns over Beijing's influence—while President Mulino declared the crisis resolved. Joint US-Panama security drills like PANAMAX-Alpha in early 2026 and increased bilateral military cooperation, including troop deployments without permanent bases, have enhanced access without violating sovereignty. Escalatory rhetoric from the Trump administration has yielded concessions via diplomacy rather than intervention, with no indications of takeover plans amid high international legal and political barriers. Late-breaking fee disputes or renewed Chinese encroachments could shift odds, but current stability favors non-action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means.
An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.
Hacim
$61,189Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Nov 13, 2025, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 90% for the US taking the Panama Canal before 2027, reflecting the absence of any military seizure or forcible control amid binding obligations under the 1977 Panama Canal Treaties and perpetual Neutrality Treaty, which Panama has upheld since the 1999 handover. Recent developments reinforce this positioning: in January 2026, Panama's Supreme Court annulled Chinese-linked CK Hutchison port contracts at canal entrances—a diplomatic win for US security concerns over Beijing's influence—while President Mulino declared the crisis resolved. Joint US-Panama security drills like PANAMAX-Alpha in early 2026 and increased bilateral military cooperation, including troop deployments without permanent bases, have enhanced access without violating sovereignty. Escalatory rhetoric from the Trump administration has yielded concessions via diplomacy rather than intervention, with no indications of takeover plans amid high international legal and political barriers. Late-breaking fee disputes or renewed Chinese encroachments could shift odds, but current stability favors non-action.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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