Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats (84.5%) to capture House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by persistent leads in generic ballot polling averages—recent surveys like YouGov/Economist (early April) show Democrats ahead 44%-42%, with aggregates from NYT, RCP, and DDHQ indicating 3-6 point edges—and a record wave of Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats), exposing vulnerable swing districts in the GOP's slim 217-214 majority. Historical midterm penalties against the president's party (Trump's Republicans) amplify these trends, as models project Democratic net gains of 10-30 seats. Primaries through summer and economic shifts could alter trajectories, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects low barriers to flipping just a handful of seats for Democratic majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi2026 'da Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
2026 'da Temsilciler Meclisi'ni hangi parti kazanacak?
$4,499,270 Hac.
$4,499,270 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
%4 Kazan
Demokrat Parti
85%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
15%
$4,499,270 Hac.
$4,499,270 Hac.
3 Kas 2026
%4 Kazan
Demokrat Parti
$2,275,995 Hac.
85%
Cumhuriyetçi Parti
$2,223,275 Hac.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats (84.5%) to capture House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by persistent leads in generic ballot polling averages—recent surveys like YouGov/Economist (early April) show Democrats ahead 44%-42%, with aggregates from NYT, RCP, and DDHQ indicating 3-6 point edges—and a record wave of Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats), exposing vulnerable swing districts in the GOP's slim 217-214 majority. Historical midterm penalties against the president's party (Trump's Republicans) amplify these trends, as models project Democratic net gains of 10-30 seats. Primaries through summer and economic shifts could alter trajectories, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects low barriers to flipping just a handful of seats for Democratic majority.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Piyasa Açıldı: Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Hacim
$4,499,270Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats (84.5%) to capture House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by persistent leads in generic ballot polling averages—recent surveys like YouGov/Economist (early April) show Democrats ahead 44%-42%, with aggregates from NYT, RCP, and DDHQ indicating 3-6 point edges—and a record wave of Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats), exposing vulnerable swing districts in the GOP's slim 217-214 majority. Historical midterm penalties against the president's party (Trump's Republicans) amplify these trends, as models project Democratic net gains of 10-30 seats. Primaries through summer and economic shifts could alter trajectories, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects low barriers to flipping just a handful of seats for Democratic majority.
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Hacim
$4,499,270Bitiş Tarihi
3 Kas 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Jul 11, 2025, 3:48 PM ETÇözümleyici
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus heavily favors Democrats (84.5%) to capture House control in the November 2026 midterms, driven by persistent leads in generic ballot polling averages—recent surveys like YouGov/Economist (early April) show Democrats ahead 44%-42%, with aggregates from NYT, RCP, and DDHQ indicating 3-6 point edges—and a record wave of Republican retirements (35 versus 20 Democrats), exposing vulnerable swing districts in the GOP's slim 217-214 majority. Historical midterm penalties against the president's party (Trump's Republicans) amplify these trends, as models project Democratic net gains of 10-30 seats. Primaries through summer and economic shifts could alter trajectories, but current wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflects low barriers to flipping just a handful of seats for Democratic majority.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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