Trader consensus prices "No" at 97%, signaling high confidence that no Iranian agent will face US charges by April 30 amid a lack of DOJ or FBI announcements, indictments, or arrests tied to espionage or IRGC-directed activities in the past 30 days. Recent ICE detentions—including Yousof Sadat Azizi on April 13 for visa fraud concealing Basij membership and Qasem Soleimani's niece and grand-niece on April 4 after green card revocation—address immigration violations, not criminal agency. The prior IRGC-linked conviction of Asif Merchant in March resolved an older case. Procedural hurdles like indictment unsealing limit late action, though escalation, a fugitive capture like Majid Dastjani Farahani, or new evidence could prompt charges.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiABD'de 30 Nisan'a kadar bir İran ajanı suçlanacak mı?
ABD'de 30 Nisan'a kadar bir İran ajanı suçlanacak mı?
Evet
$32,695 Hac.
$32,695 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
Evet
$32,695 Hac.
$32,695 Hac.
30 Nis 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 97%, signaling high confidence that no Iranian agent will face US charges by April 30 amid a lack of DOJ or FBI announcements, indictments, or arrests tied to espionage or IRGC-directed activities in the past 30 days. Recent ICE detentions—including Yousof Sadat Azizi on April 13 for visa fraud concealing Basij membership and Qasem Soleimani's niece and grand-niece on April 4 after green card revocation—address immigration violations, not criminal agency. The prior IRGC-linked conviction of Asif Merchant in March resolved an older case. Procedural hurdles like indictment unsealing limit late action, though escalation, a fugitive capture like Majid Dastjani Farahani, or new evidence could prompt charges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Piyasa Açıldı: Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ET
Hacim
$32,695Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 97%, signaling high confidence that no Iranian agent will face US charges by April 30 amid a lack of DOJ or FBI announcements, indictments, or arrests tied to espionage or IRGC-directed activities in the past 30 days. Recent ICE detentions—including Yousof Sadat Azizi on April 13 for visa fraud concealing Basij membership and Qasem Soleimani's niece and grand-niece on April 4 after green card revocation—address immigration violations, not criminal agency. The prior IRGC-linked conviction of Asif Merchant in March resolved an older case. Procedural hurdles like indictment unsealing limit late action, though escalation, a fugitive capture like Majid Dastjani Farahani, or new evidence could prompt charges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of any individual alleged to be acting as an agent of the Iranian government by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
“Iranian agent” refers to any individual alleged to be acting on behalf of, under the direction of, or in coordination with the Iranian government (including its military or intelligence services) to conduct espionage, collect intelligence, or perform other covert operations that benefit Iran.
For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Hacim
$32,695Bitiş Tarihi
30 Nis 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Mar 11, 2026, 4:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 97%, signaling high confidence that no Iranian agent will face US charges by April 30 amid a lack of DOJ or FBI announcements, indictments, or arrests tied to espionage or IRGC-directed activities in the past 30 days. Recent ICE detentions—including Yousof Sadat Azizi on April 13 for visa fraud concealing Basij membership and Qasem Soleimani's niece and grand-niece on April 4 after green card revocation—address immigration violations, not criminal agency. The prior IRGC-linked conviction of Asif Merchant in March resolved an older case. Procedural hurdles like indictment unsealing limit late action, though escalation, a fugitive capture like Majid Dastjani Farahani, or new evidence could prompt charges.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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