The 93% implied probability on "No" reflects the formidable constitutional barriers to repealing the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms and requires a two-thirds supermajority in both the House and Senate followed by ratification by three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet for any amendment since 1992. No bills or resolutions advancing such a repeal have gained traction in the current Congress, with President Trump's recent February 2026 announcement instead proposing term limits for House members (six years) and Senators (12 years) to curb career politicians. While Trump has rhetorically mused about a third term and sold "Trump 2028" merchandise, traders view these as unserious amid GOP control but insufficient momentum for the procedural hurdles, with no hearings or votes scheduled before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · GüncellendiYENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
YENİ
YENİ
31 Ara 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 93% implied probability on "No" reflects the formidable constitutional barriers to repealing the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms and requires a two-thirds supermajority in both the House and Senate followed by ratification by three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet for any amendment since 1992. No bills or resolutions advancing such a repeal have gained traction in the current Congress, with President Trump's recent February 2026 announcement instead proposing term limits for House members (six years) and Senators (12 years) to curb career politicians. While Trump has rhetorically mused about a third term and sold "Trump 2028" merchandise, traders view these as unserious amid GOP control but insufficient momentum for the procedural hurdles, with no hearings or votes scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Piyasa Açıldı: Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Hacim
$6,790Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.The 93% implied probability on "No" reflects the formidable constitutional barriers to repealing the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms and requires a two-thirds supermajority in both the House and Senate followed by ratification by three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet for any amendment since 1992. No bills or resolutions advancing such a repeal have gained traction in the current Congress, with President Trump's recent February 2026 announcement instead proposing term limits for House members (six years) and Senators (12 years) to curb career politicians. While Trump has rhetorically mused about a third term and sold "Trump 2028" merchandise, traders view these as unserious amid GOP control but insufficient momentum for the procedural hurdles, with no hearings or votes scheduled before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.
This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.
Hacim
$6,790Bitiş Tarihi
31 Ara 2026Piyasa Açıldı
Feb 2, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 93% implied probability on "No" reflects the formidable constitutional barriers to repealing the 22nd Amendment, which limits presidents to two elected terms and requires a two-thirds supermajority in both the House and Senate followed by ratification by three-fourths of states—a threshold unmet for any amendment since 1992. No bills or resolutions advancing such a repeal have gained traction in the current Congress, with President Trump's recent February 2026 announcement instead proposing term limits for House members (six years) and Senators (12 years) to curb career politicians. While Trump has rhetorically mused about a third term and sold "Trump 2028" merchandise, traders view these as unserious amid GOP control but insufficient momentum for the procedural hurdles, with no hearings or votes scheduled before year-end.
Polymarket verilerine atıfta bulunan deneysel AI tarafından oluşturulmuş özet. Bu bir işlem tavsiyesi değildir ve bu piyasanın nasıl çözümlendiğinde hiçbir rolü yoktur. · Güncellendi
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