Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland setting (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions drive trader consensus toward a 25–26°C daily maximum on August 19, with numerical weather models showing only modest spread. Afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover from passing tropical waves limit solar heating and cap peaks near long-term August averages of 24–26°C. Minor forecast differences in the timing and intensity of these storms, plus small variations in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, produce the tight clustering between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Clearer skies or delayed convection would favor the upper end of the range, while earlier or heavier rainfall would keep readings at or below 25°C. Official station data from Mexico City will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 19?
26°C 33%
25°C 33%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
5%
24°C
7%
25°C
33%
26°C
33%
27°C
23%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
25°C 33%
27°C 23%
24°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$9 Обс.
2%
23°C
$2 Обс.
5%
24°C
$13 Обс.
7%
25°C
$3 Обс.
33%
26°C
$52 Обс.
33%
27°C
$14 Обс.
23%
28°C
$125 Обс.
6%
29°C
$52 Обс.
3%
30°C
$12 Обс.
1%
31°C
$7 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$12 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland setting (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions drive trader consensus toward a 25–26°C daily maximum on August 19, with numerical weather models showing only modest spread. Afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover from passing tropical waves limit solar heating and cap peaks near long-term August averages of 24–26°C. Minor forecast differences in the timing and intensity of these storms, plus small variations in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, produce the tight clustering between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Clearer skies or delayed convection would favor the upper end of the range, while earlier or heavier rainfall would keep readings at or below 25°C. Official station data from Mexico City will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Обсяг
$301Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland setting (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions drive trader consensus toward a 25–26°C daily maximum on August 19, with numerical weather models showing only modest spread. Afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover from passing tropical waves limit solar heating and cap peaks near long-term August averages of 24–26°C. Minor forecast differences in the timing and intensity of these storms, plus small variations in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, produce the tight clustering between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Clearer skies or delayed convection would favor the upper end of the range, while earlier or heavier rainfall would keep readings at or below 25°C. Official station data from Mexico City will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$301Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation subtropical highland setting (~2,240 m) and peak rainy-season conditions drive trader consensus toward a 25–26°C daily maximum on August 19, with numerical weather models showing only modest spread. Afternoon convective showers and widespread cloud cover from passing tropical waves limit solar heating and cap peaks near long-term August averages of 24–26°C. Minor forecast differences in the timing and intensity of these storms, plus small variations in low-level moisture and boundary-layer mixing across GFS and ECMWF ensembles, produce the tight clustering between 25°C and 27°C outcomes. Clearer skies or delayed convection would favor the upper end of the range, while earlier or heavier rainfall would keep readings at or below 25°C. Official station data from Mexico City will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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