**Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and the July FOMC's 9-3 hawkish dissent have fragmented Committee views ahead of the September 15-16 meeting, producing the current spread of implied probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% and headline PCE near 3.7% alongside core readings above 3%, regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan continue advocating a 25-basis-point hike to restore price stability while the broader panel prefers patience amid a stable labor market (unemployment near 4.2-4.3%). Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether fresh CPI or payrolls data will consolidate support for additional hawkish votes or allow the majority to hold the line, underscoring how incoming releases will shape the final dissent tally at the next policy decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many dissent at the September Fed meeting?
3 31%
2 21%
4+ 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
21%
3
31%
4+
20%
3 31%
2 21%
4+ 20%
1 19%
0
15%
1
19%
2
21%
3
31%
4+
20%
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Elevated inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and the July FOMC's 9-3 hawkish dissent have fragmented Committee views ahead of the September 15-16 meeting, producing the current spread of implied probabilities across zero to four-plus dissents.** With the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% and headline PCE near 3.7% alongside core readings above 3%, regional presidents such as Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan continue advocating a 25-basis-point hike to restore price stability while the broader panel prefers patience amid a stable labor market (unemployment near 4.2-4.3%). Trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether fresh CPI or payrolls data will consolidate support for additional hawkish votes or allow the majority to hold the line, underscoring how incoming releases will shape the final dissent tally at the next policy decision.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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