Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show Ankara's August 29 overnight minimum clustering around 13–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderate northerly winds and elevated humidity near 60–80 % further moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus around 11–14 °C reflects lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima for the capital average near 15 °C, so current cooler, unsettled patterns explain the tight market distribution and modest probability assigned to 10 °C or below.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 29?
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
38%
14°C
52%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
9°C or below 2%
10°C 2%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$17 Обс.
2%
10°C
$76 Обс.
7%
11°C
$60 Обс.
39%
12°C
$60 Обс.
39%
13°C
$60 Обс.
38%
14°C
$170 Обс.
52%
15°C
$83 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
17°C
$20 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
19°C or higher
$33 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show Ankara's August 29 overnight minimum clustering around 13–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderate northerly winds and elevated humidity near 60–80 % further moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus around 11–14 °C reflects lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima for the capital average near 15 °C, so current cooler, unsettled patterns explain the tight market distribution and modest probability assigned to 10 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$229Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show Ankara's August 29 overnight minimum clustering around 13–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderate northerly winds and elevated humidity near 60–80 % further moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus around 11–14 °C reflects lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima for the capital average near 15 °C, so current cooler, unsettled patterns explain the tight market distribution and modest probability assigned to 10 °C or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$229Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models show Ankara's August 29 overnight minimum clustering around 13–14 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while moderate northerly winds and elevated humidity near 60–80 % further moderate temperature drops. Trader consensus around 11–14 °C reflects lingering model spread on exact cloud timing and precipitation intensity, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C. Historical August minima for the capital average near 15 °C, so current cooler, unsettled patterns explain the tight market distribution and modest probability assigned to 10 °C or below.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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