Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 settling near 13–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, which promotes efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Dew points near 10–12 °C and low humidity support further temperature drops in the pre-dawn hours, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12 °C and 13 °C reflect genuine uncertainty from minor differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 30?
10°C 42%
14°C 40%
12°C 40%
11°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
10%
10°C
42%
11°C
37%
12°C
40%
13°C
35%
14°C
40%
15°C
17%
16°C
2%
17°C
14%
18°C
37%
19°C or higher
2%
10°C 42%
14°C 40%
12°C 40%
11°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
9°C or below
$0 Обс.
10%
10°C
$0 Обс.
42%
11°C
$0 Обс.
37%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
35%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
17%
16°C
$0 Обс.
2%
17°C
$5 Обс.
14%
18°C
$5 Обс.
37%
19°C or higher
$145 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 settling near 13–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, which promotes efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Dew points near 10–12 °C and low humidity support further temperature drops in the pre-dawn hours, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12 °C and 13 °C reflect genuine uncertainty from minor differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$155Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 settling near 13–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, which promotes efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Dew points near 10–12 °C and low humidity support further temperature drops in the pre-dawn hours, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12 °C and 13 °C reflect genuine uncertainty from minor differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$155Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows Ankara's overnight minimum on August 30 settling near 13–14 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, which promotes efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs around 24–26 °C. Dew points near 10–12 °C and low humidity support further temperature drops in the pre-dawn hours, consistent with the seasonal decline from peak summer warmth. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around 12 °C and 13 °C reflect genuine uncertainty from minor differences in predicted cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects that could shift the recorded low by 1 °C. Updated model runs overnight will likely tighten or shift these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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