Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C under mostly clear skies following scattered rain and cloud cover on the 29th. Northerly flow, typical of late-summer Etesian patterns, has limited daytime heating and promoted modest radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 17 °C or above 26 °C. Updated guidance through the morning of the 30th will determine whether any final adjustments shift the implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
18°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
9%
18°C
50%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
40%
23°C
27%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C or higher
1%
18°C 50%
25°C 50%
22°C 40%
21°C 27%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 30, 2026
16°C or below
$10 Обс.
1%
17°C
$140 Обс.
9%
18°C
$10 Обс.
50%
19°C
$0 Обс.
26%
20°C
$0 Обс.
27%
21°C
$0 Обс.
27%
22°C
$5 Обс.
40%
23°C
$0 Обс.
27%
24°C
$0 Обс.
26%
25°C
$10 Обс.
50%
26°C or higher
$250 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C under mostly clear skies following scattered rain and cloud cover on the 29th. Northerly flow, typical of late-summer Etesian patterns, has limited daytime heating and promoted modest radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 17 °C or above 26 °C. Updated guidance through the morning of the 30th will determine whether any final adjustments shift the implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$425Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C under mostly clear skies following scattered rain and cloud cover on the 29th. Northerly flow, typical of late-summer Etesian patterns, has limited daytime heating and promoted modest radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 17 °C or above 26 °C. Updated guidance through the morning of the 30th will determine whether any final adjustments shift the implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$425Дата завершення
Aug 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from ECMWF and GFS ensembles indicate Istanbul’s overnight minimum on August 30 will likely settle near 20–22 °C under mostly clear skies following scattered rain and cloud cover on the 29th. Northerly flow, typical of late-summer Etesian patterns, has limited daytime heating and promoted modest radiational cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around these values, supporting the market’s heaviest trading on 20–22 °C outcomes while assigning minimal probability to outliers below 17 °C or above 26 °C. Updated guidance through the morning of the 30th will determine whether any final adjustments shift the implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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