Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 21?
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Обс.
$5,365 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80°F or higher
No
68-69°F 99.5%
64-65°F 1.0%
66-67°F 1.0%
61°F or below <1%
$5,365 Обс.
$5,365 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
61°F or below
$235 Обс.
No
62-63°F
$149 Обс.
No
64-65°F
$35 Обс.
No
66-67°F
$36 Обс.
No
68-69°F
$274 Обс.
Yes
70-71°F
$718 Обс.
No
72-73°F
$2,181 Обс.
No
74-75°F
$811 Обс.
No
76-77°F
$180 Обс.
No
78-79°F
$465 Обс.
No
80°F or higher
$280 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,365Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,365Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Los Angeles International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 69°F on August 21, 2026, four degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 65°F and consistent with surrounding readings near 70°F downtown. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow under weak high pressure suppressed nocturnal cooling, aligning with typical late-summer climatology for the Los Angeles Basin. This verified data, released shortly after the period closed, produced the overwhelming 99.5% market-implied probability for a 68–69°F low. A meaningful shift would require either a revised official reading at the designated station or an alternative resolution criterion, both highly improbable given the direct measurements.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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