**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 29 minimum because official and ensemble forecasts converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity (often >85–90%), widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below the mid-20s. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact minimum depending on the timing and intensity of evening showers, which explains why 27°C and 28°C lead at 46.5% each while 25°C and 29°C remain within a few points. Historical August averages (lows near 25°C) and urban heat-island effects further anchor expectations, with lower-probability outcomes (<10%) reserved for unusually clear or stormy deviations that current guidance does not support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
25°C 46%
29°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
7%
24°C
9%
25°C
46%
26°C
42%
27°C
47%
28°C
47%
29°C
45%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
28°C 47%
25°C 46%
29°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5,018 Обс.
1%
23°C
$75 Обс.
7%
24°C
$115 Обс.
9%
25°C
$10 Обс.
46%
26°C
$5 Обс.
42%
27°C
$0 Обс.
47%
28°C
$0 Обс.
47%
29°C
$15 Обс.
45%
30°C
$112 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$68 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 29 minimum because official and ensemble forecasts converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity (often >85–90%), widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below the mid-20s. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact minimum depending on the timing and intensity of evening showers, which explains why 27°C and 28°C lead at 46.5% each while 25°C and 29°C remain within a few points. Historical August averages (lows near 25°C) and urban heat-island effects further anchor expectations, with lower-probability outcomes (<10%) reserved for unusually clear or stormy deviations that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,555Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 29 minimum because official and ensemble forecasts converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity (often >85–90%), widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below the mid-20s. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact minimum depending on the timing and intensity of evening showers, which explains why 27°C and 28°C lead at 46.5% each while 25°C and 29°C remain within a few points. Historical August averages (lows near 25°C) and urban heat-island effects further anchor expectations, with lower-probability outcomes (<10%) reserved for unusually clear or stormy deviations that current guidance does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,555Дата завершення
Aug 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 25–29°C for Shenzhen’s August 29 minimum because official and ensemble forecasts converge on overnight lows of 26–28°C amid typical late-summer subtropical conditions.** High humidity (often >85–90%), widespread cloud cover from scattered thunderstorms, and light winds limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping surface temperatures from dropping below the mid-20s. Recent model runs show minor spread in the exact minimum depending on the timing and intensity of evening showers, which explains why 27°C and 28°C lead at 46.5% each while 25°C and 29°C remain within a few points. Historical August averages (lows near 25°C) and urban heat-island effects further anchor expectations, with lower-probability outcomes (<10%) reserved for unusually clear or stormy deviations that current guidance does not support.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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