Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in the September 1 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features limited candidates such as Gary Grossi amid historically low GOP performance in the state since 1994. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects this structural advantage, weak Republican fundraising and recruitment, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, substantial national realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong turnout among demographics that moved rightward in 2024.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-03 House Election Winner
MA-03 House Election Winner
$18,897 Обс.
$18,897 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$18,897 Обс.
$18,897 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,103 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$8,794 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in the September 1 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features limited candidates such as Gary Grossi amid historically low GOP performance in the state since 1994. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects this structural advantage, weak Republican fundraising and recruitment, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, substantial national realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong turnout among demographics that moved rightward in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,897Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in the September 1 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features limited candidates such as Gary Grossi amid historically low GOP performance in the state since 1994. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects this structural advantage, weak Republican fundraising and recruitment, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, substantial national realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong turnout among demographics that moved rightward in 2024.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,897Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and consistent Solid Democratic race ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Lori Trahan faces minimal opposition in the September 1 Democratic primary, while the Republican primary features limited candidates such as Gary Grossi amid historically low GOP performance in the state since 1994. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent reflects this structural advantage, weak Republican fundraising and recruitment, and absence of competitive polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, substantial national realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually strong turnout among demographics that moved rightward in 2024.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання