Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, credible monetary policy, and fiscal deficits that remain elevated but not materially worsening through 2027. The debt ceiling, raised by $5 trillion in 2025 to $41.1 trillion, is projected to bind only in mid-2027, allowing time for congressional action before extraordinary measures are exhausted. All three major agencies have already applied their prior downgrades, and current outlooks incorporate assumptions of timely bipartisan resolutions on borrowing limits without fresh brinkmanship or sharp deterioration in the debt-to-GDP trajectory that would prompt immediate further cuts. These developments underpin trader consensus against another downgrade before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnother US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
14% khả năng
$13,112 KL.
$13,112 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
14% khả năng
$13,112 KL.
$13,112 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, credible monetary policy, and fiscal deficits that remain elevated but not materially worsening through 2027. The debt ceiling, raised by $5 trillion in 2025 to $41.1 trillion, is projected to bind only in mid-2027, allowing time for congressional action before extraordinary measures are exhausted. All three major agencies have already applied their prior downgrades, and current outlooks incorporate assumptions of timely bipartisan resolutions on borrowing limits without fresh brinkmanship or sharp deterioration in the debt-to-GDP trajectory that would prompt immediate further cuts. These developments underpin trader consensus against another downgrade before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,112Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, credible monetary policy, and fiscal deficits that remain elevated but not materially worsening through 2027. The debt ceiling, raised by $5 trillion in 2025 to $41.1 trillion, is projected to bind only in mid-2027, allowing time for congressional action before extraordinary measures are exhausted. All three major agencies have already applied their prior downgrades, and current outlooks incorporate assumptions of timely bipartisan resolutions on borrowing limits without fresh brinkmanship or sharp deterioration in the debt-to-GDP trajectory that would prompt immediate further cuts. These developments underpin trader consensus against another downgrade before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$13,112Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Recent affirmations by S&P and Fitch of the U.S. sovereign rating at AA+ with stable outlooks reflect expectations of resilient economic growth, credible monetary policy, and fiscal deficits that remain elevated but not materially worsening through 2027. The debt ceiling, raised by $5 trillion in 2025 to $41.1 trillion, is projected to bind only in mid-2027, allowing time for congressional action before extraordinary measures are exhausted. All three major agencies have already applied their prior downgrades, and current outlooks incorporate assumptions of timely bipartisan resolutions on borrowing limits without fresh brinkmanship or sharp deterioration in the debt-to-GDP trajectory that would prompt immediate further cuts. These developments underpin trader consensus against another downgrade before year-end 2026.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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