Trader consensus implies a 75% probability that the CDC will issue at least one Level 3 "Avoid Nonessential Travel" warning by December 31, driven by escalating risks from ongoing Level 2 outbreaks like global poliovirus circulation and measles resurgence. CDC's March 2026 update expanded the polio Level 2 advisory to over 30 countries, including travel hotspots, amid confirmed circulating vaccine-derived strains, while the global measles notice persists due to rising cases worldwide. H5N1 avian influenza surveillance reports stable low-risk human infections without person-to-person transmission, but accumulating cases in 2026 fuel concerns. No Level 3 notices are active as of mid-April, yet historical patterns of CDC escalations during sustained transmission support the odds; watch weekly CDC flu updates and WHO epidemiological reports for potential shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?
$112,110 KL.
$112,110 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$112,110 KL.
$112,110 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75% probability that the CDC will issue at least one Level 3 "Avoid Nonessential Travel" warning by December 31, driven by escalating risks from ongoing Level 2 outbreaks like global poliovirus circulation and measles resurgence. CDC's March 2026 update expanded the polio Level 2 advisory to over 30 countries, including travel hotspots, amid confirmed circulating vaccine-derived strains, while the global measles notice persists due to rising cases worldwide. H5N1 avian influenza surveillance reports stable low-risk human infections without person-to-person transmission, but accumulating cases in 2026 fuel concerns. No Level 3 notices are active as of mid-April, yet historical patterns of CDC escalations during sustained transmission support the odds; watch weekly CDC flu updates and WHO epidemiological reports for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$112,110Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus implies a 75% probability that the CDC will issue at least one Level 3 "Avoid Nonessential Travel" warning by December 31, driven by escalating risks from ongoing Level 2 outbreaks like global poliovirus circulation and measles resurgence. CDC's March 2026 update expanded the polio Level 2 advisory to over 30 countries, including travel hotspots, amid confirmed circulating vaccine-derived strains, while the global measles notice persists due to rising cases worldwide. H5N1 avian influenza surveillance reports stable low-risk human infections without person-to-person transmission, but accumulating cases in 2026 fuel concerns. No Level 3 notices are active as of mid-April, yet historical patterns of CDC escalations during sustained transmission support the odds; watch weekly CDC flu updates and WHO epidemiological reports for potential shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$112,110Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus implies a 75% probability that the CDC will issue at least one Level 3 "Avoid Nonessential Travel" warning by December 31, driven by escalating risks from ongoing Level 2 outbreaks like global poliovirus circulation and measles resurgence. CDC's March 2026 update expanded the polio Level 2 advisory to over 30 countries, including travel hotspots, amid confirmed circulating vaccine-derived strains, while the global measles notice persists due to rising cases worldwide. H5N1 avian influenza surveillance reports stable low-risk human infections without person-to-person transmission, but accumulating cases in 2026 fuel concerns. No Level 3 notices are active as of mid-April, yet historical patterns of CDC escalations during sustained transmission support the odds; watch weekly CDC flu updates and WHO epidemiological reports for potential shifts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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