Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and President Trump's endorsement. Her substantial fundraising edge—over $11 million raised versus under $1 million for Democrat Angie Nixon—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has not shifted the fundamentals, as polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points and forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Republican. A realistic challenge would require a major late-breaking event such as a significant scandal or sharp national political realignment before the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$110,520 KL.
$110,520 KL.
Ashley Moody (R)
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
8%
$110,520 KL.
$110,520 KL.
Ashley Moody (R)
$55,093 KL.
92%
Angie Nixon (D)
$55,426 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and President Trump's endorsement. Her substantial fundraising edge—over $11 million raised versus under $1 million for Democrat Angie Nixon—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has not shifted the fundamentals, as polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points and forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Republican. A realistic challenge would require a major late-breaking event such as a significant scandal or sharp national political realignment before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$110,520Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and President Trump's endorsement. Her substantial fundraising edge—over $11 million raised versus under $1 million for Democrat Angie Nixon—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has not shifted the fundamentals, as polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points and forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Republican. A realistic challenge would require a major late-breaking event such as a significant scandal or sharp national political realignment before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$110,520Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida U.S. Senate special election due to the state's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by double-digit margins in recent presidential voting, combined with her status as the appointed incumbent who secured the GOP nomination with minimal opposition and President Trump's endorsement. Her substantial fundraising edge—over $11 million raised versus under $1 million for Democrat Angie Nixon—further reinforces trader consensus reflected in the current odds. Nixon's upset primary victory over Alex Vindman has not shifted the fundamentals, as polling averages show Moody ahead by roughly 9-10 points and forecasters rate the race Likely or Safe Republican. A realistic challenge would require a major late-breaking event such as a significant scandal or sharp national political realignment before the November 3 vote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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