Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody maintains a polling edge over leading Democratic contender Alex Vindman in Florida's special U.S. Senate election to fill Marco Rubio's remaining term, with recent surveys like Emerson College (late March) showing her up 46%-38% and MDW Strategies (early April) at 43%-42%, amid averages favoring Republicans by four points among likely voters. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican win reflects Moody's incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising ($7 million cash on hand versus Vindman's $6 million), endorsements from Donald Trump and Rick Scott, and Florida's GOP stronghold status, despite Democratic-leaning polls suggesting competitiveness. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtFlorida Senate Election Winner
Florida Senate Election Winner
$33,892 KL.
$33,892 KL.
Republican
80%
Democrat
17%
$33,892 KL.
$33,892 KL.
Republican
$17,685 KL.
80%
Democrat
$16,207 KL.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody maintains a polling edge over leading Democratic contender Alex Vindman in Florida's special U.S. Senate election to fill Marco Rubio's remaining term, with recent surveys like Emerson College (late March) showing her up 46%-38% and MDW Strategies (early April) at 43%-42%, amid averages favoring Republicans by four points among likely voters. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican win reflects Moody's incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising ($7 million cash on hand versus Vindman's $6 million), endorsements from Donald Trump and Rick Scott, and Florida's GOP stronghold status, despite Democratic-leaning polls suggesting competitiveness. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$33,892Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody maintains a polling edge over leading Democratic contender Alex Vindman in Florida's special U.S. Senate election to fill Marco Rubio's remaining term, with recent surveys like Emerson College (late March) showing her up 46%-38% and MDW Strategies (early April) at 43%-42%, amid averages favoring Republicans by four points among likely voters. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican win reflects Moody's incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising ($7 million cash on hand versus Vindman's $6 million), endorsements from Donald Trump and Rick Scott, and Florida's GOP stronghold status, despite Democratic-leaning polls suggesting competitiveness. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$33,892Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody maintains a polling edge over leading Democratic contender Alex Vindman in Florida's special U.S. Senate election to fill Marco Rubio's remaining term, with recent surveys like Emerson College (late March) showing her up 46%-38% and MDW Strategies (early April) at 43%-42%, amid averages favoring Republicans by four points among likely voters. Trader consensus at 81.5% for a Republican win reflects Moody's incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising ($7 million cash on hand versus Vindman's $6 million), endorsements from Donald Trump and Rick Scott, and Florida's GOP stronghold status, despite Democratic-leaning polls suggesting competitiveness. Primaries are scheduled for August 18, with the general on November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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