**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, centering near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus, drawn from observations and model runs showing morning temperatures climbing from around 11–13°C to afternoon peaks near 17–19°C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20°C (60.5% implied probability) as the resolution outcome, with 19°C and 21°C as close alternatives. Early September climatology supports mild conditions after cooler prior days, and stable atmospheric patterns have kept model spreads narrow without significant revisions in the past 24–48 hours. Traders appear to price in the upper end of the forecast range given the skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data points, though any late-day observational adjustment or model shift could still influence the exact maximum recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
20°C 60%
19°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
$19,897 交易量
$19,897 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
20%
20°C
60%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C或以上
1%
20°C 60%
19°C 20%
21°C 18%
22°C 2.8%
$19,897 交易量
$19,897 交易量
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
20%
20°C
60%
21°C
18%
22°C
3%
23°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 7, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a daytime high in Buenos Aires on September 9, 2026, centering near 18–19°C under mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with light northeast winds and negligible precipitation.** This consensus, drawn from observations and model runs showing morning temperatures climbing from around 11–13°C to afternoon peaks near 17–19°C, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 20°C (60.5% implied probability) as the resolution outcome, with 19°C and 21°C as close alternatives. Early September climatology supports mild conditions after cooler prior days, and stable atmospheric patterns have kept model spreads narrow without significant revisions in the past 24–48 hours. Traders appear to price in the upper end of the forecast range given the skin-in-the-game aggregation of these data points, though any late-day observational adjustment or model shift could still influence the exact maximum recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions