Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 19, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Recent mild conditions—clear skies yielding highs of 19–22°C over the past week, exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—have boosted these implied probabilities, with April 14 and 17 observations confirming above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze timing, potential low-level clouds, and coastal cooling effects, introducing uncertainty in peak heating. KMA updates twice daily and overnight ensemble refreshes could refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Busan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 19?
21°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
14%
21°C
30%
22°C
23%
23°C
27%
24°C
9%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
2%
21°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 23%
20°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-19
17°C or below
$281 交易量
1%
18°C
$201 交易量
3%
19°C
$205 交易量
5%
20°C
$28 交易量
14%
21°C
$62 交易量
30%
22°C
$92 交易量
23%
23°C
$231 交易量
27%
24°C
$308 交易量
9%
25°C
$177 交易量
2%
26°C
$208 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$221 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 19, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Recent mild conditions—clear skies yielding highs of 19–22°C over the past week, exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—have boosted these implied probabilities, with April 14 and 17 observations confirming above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze timing, potential low-level clouds, and coastal cooling effects, introducing uncertainty in peak heating. KMA updates twice daily and overnight ensemble refreshes could refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
交易量
$2,006結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 19, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Recent mild conditions—clear skies yielding highs of 19–22°C over the past week, exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—have boosted these implied probabilities, with April 14 and 17 observations confirming above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze timing, potential low-level clouds, and coastal cooling effects, introducing uncertainty in peak heating. KMA updates twice daily and overnight ensemble refreshes could refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,006結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:41 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 21–23°C for Busan's highest temperature on April 19, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks in this range under persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly winds. Recent mild conditions—clear skies yielding highs of 19–22°C over the past week, exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 18°C—have boosted these implied probabilities, with April 14 and 17 observations confirming above-normal warmth. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze timing, potential low-level clouds, and coastal cooling effects, introducing uncertainty in peak heating. KMA updates twice daily and overnight ensemble refreshes could refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions