**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日釜山的最高溫度？
9月9日釜山的最高溫度？
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,607 交易量
$33,607 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$33,607 交易量
$33,607 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C或以下
$893 交易量
否
22°C
$385 交易量
否
23°C
$1,874 交易量
否
24°C
$780 交易量
否
25°C
$4,863 交易量
否
26°C
$9,367 交易量
是
27°C
$4,447 交易量
否
28°C
$3,111 交易量
否
29°C
$2,024 交易量
否
30°C
$2,460 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$3,403 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$33,607結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,607結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 26°C high in Busan on September 9 reflects convergence of official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models on a daily maximum near that value.** Northeasterly flow at 15–25 km/h, combined with partly to mostly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation, has limited daytime heating while maintaining conditions consistent with late-summer climatology for the region, where September averages hover around 26–27°C. Recent model runs show little spread around this outcome, with observed temperatures during peak heating hours aligning closely with the 26°C threshold. A shift would require either stronger onshore flow or unexpected clear-sky development that pushes readings higher, or enhanced cloud cover and marine influence that caps the maximum below it—scenarios not supported by current observational trends or short-range guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions