Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-81°F high at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and model consensus showing a warmup under a building 500 mb upper ridge over the central U.S., promoting southerly warm air advection and ample insolation. Recent area forecast discussions highlight highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid light winds and minimal cloud cover following this week's stormy pattern, with April 12 already reaching 81°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs warmer than ECMWF—hinging on ridge axis positioning, boundary layer mixing, and potential diurnally driven cumulus clouds suppressing peaks; 78-79°F and 82-83°F outcomes vie closely if convection or shear intervenes. Watch 12Z suite updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥4月17日的最高溫度?
芝加哥4月17日的最高溫度?
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 12%
$25,646 交易量
$25,646 交易量
華氏71度或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
80-81°F 34%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
84-85°F 12%
$25,646 交易量
$25,646 交易量
華氏71度或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
華氏90度或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80-81°F high at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 17 at 34.5%, reflecting the latest National Weather Service Chicago guidance and model consensus showing a warmup under a building 500 mb upper ridge over the central U.S., promoting southerly warm air advection and ample insolation. Recent area forecast discussions highlight highs in the upper 70s to low 80s amid light winds and minimal cloud cover following this week's stormy pattern, with April 12 already reaching 81°F. High uncertainty stems from model spread—GFS runs warmer than ECMWF—hinging on ridge axis positioning, boundary layer mixing, and potential diurnally driven cumulus clouds suppressing peaks; 78-79°F and 82-83°F outcomes vie closely if convection or shear intervenes. Watch 12Z suite updates for refinements ahead of resolution based on official observed maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions