Market icon

3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？

Market icon

3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 28%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 19%

78-79°F 17%

Polymarket

$10,106 交易量

82-83°F 28%

80-81°F 23%

84-85°F 19%

78-79°F 17%

Polymarket

$10,106 交易量

華氏73度或以下

$780 交易量

1%

74-75°F

$470 交易量

2%

76-77°F

$605 交易量

7%

78-79°F

$835 交易量

17%

80-81°F

$800 交易量

23%

82-83°F

$565 交易量

28%

84-85°F

$503 交易量

19%

86-87°F

$699 交易量

3%

88-89°F

$1,261 交易量

1%

90-91°F

$2,679 交易量

1%

華氏92度或更高

$908 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,106
結束日期
Mar 29, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

Latest NOAA and ECMWF forecast ensembles point to Dallas highs of 80-85°F on March 29, fueling trader sentiment toward those bins with implied probabilities reflecting model spread and uncertainty in cloud cover timing. A persistent upper-level ridge over Texas promises above-normal warmth—historical March averages hover around 70°F—but diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cumulus clouds could cap peaks at 82-83°F, per GFS runs, while drier conditions favor 84-85°F in ECMWF guidance. Recent weak frontal passages brought minor cooling signals in the past 48 hours, tightening the race among mid-80s outcomes; new 12z model updates tomorrow could sharpen consensus ahead of resolution. Climatological analogs from similar ridge setups show 2-3°F variance, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "82-83°F" at 28%, followed by "80-81°F" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？" is "82-83°F" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "80-81°F" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月29日達拉斯的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.