Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin spread across 33–41°C outcomes for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent global model runs from GFS and ECMWF that project peaks between 36–40°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent days logged highs near 35–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, aligning with April climatology averaging 35°C (95°F), but coastal Red Sea sea breezes—typically strengthening afternoons—introduce variability by moderating peaks, potentially favoring sub-38°C readings if onshore flow intensifies. Haze or light northerly winds could trim insolation, tipping toward lower bins, while prolonged sunshine risks 39°C+. New 12Z model updates and GAMEP observations expected within 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official hourly measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 18?
38°C 24%
39°C 22%
37°C 22%
41°C 22%
33°C or below
7%
34°C
14%
35°C
16%
36°C
20%
37°C
22%
38°C
24%
39°C
22%
40°C
18%
41°C
22%
42°C
20%
43°C or higher
1%
38°C 24%
39°C 22%
37°C 22%
41°C 22%
33°C or below
7%
34°C
14%
35°C
16%
36°C
20%
37°C
22%
38°C
24%
39°C
22%
40°C
18%
41°C
22%
42°C
20%
43°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a razor-thin spread across 33–41°C outcomes for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 18, reflecting divergent global model runs from GFS and ECMWF that project peaks between 36–40°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies. Recent days logged highs near 35–37°C at King Abdulaziz International Airport, aligning with April climatology averaging 35°C (95°F), but coastal Red Sea sea breezes—typically strengthening afternoons—introduce variability by moderating peaks, potentially favoring sub-38°C readings if onshore flow intensifies. Haze or light northerly winds could trim insolation, tipping toward lower bins, while prolonged sunshine risks 39°C+. New 12Z model updates and GAMEP observations expected within 48 hours will sharpen resolution criteria based on official hourly measurements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions