August's climatological norms for Jinan, Shandong, place typical daytime highs well above 30°C, supported by long-term observations from the China Meteorological Administration. On August 16, 2026, prevailing synoptic patterns—including warm advection and limited cloud cover—align with these baselines, driving the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 26°C or above. Forecast models show minimal day-to-day variability this week, with no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. Historical data indicate that daily maxima below 26°C occur in fewer than 5% of mid-August cases, underscoring the consensus. Only an atypical, rapid intrusion of cooler polar air could realistically challenge this outcome before evening observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日濟南氣溫最高？
8月16日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
100%
26°C或更高 100.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
16°C或以下
$20 交易量
<1%
17°C
$20 交易量
<1%
18°C
$20 交易量
<1%
19°C
$20 交易量
<1%
20°C
$20 交易量
<1%
21°C
$20 交易量
<1%
22°C
$20 交易量
<1%
23°C
$20 交易量
<1%
24°C
$100 交易量
<1%
25°C
$216 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$472 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August's climatological norms for Jinan, Shandong, place typical daytime highs well above 30°C, supported by long-term observations from the China Meteorological Administration. On August 16, 2026, prevailing synoptic patterns—including warm advection and limited cloud cover—align with these baselines, driving the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 26°C or above. Forecast models show minimal day-to-day variability this week, with no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. Historical data indicate that daily maxima below 26°C occur in fewer than 5% of mid-August cases, underscoring the consensus. Only an atypical, rapid intrusion of cooler polar air could realistically challenge this outcome before evening observations close the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
交易量
$948結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August's climatological norms for Jinan, Shandong, place typical daytime highs well above 30°C, supported by long-term observations from the China Meteorological Administration. On August 16, 2026, prevailing synoptic patterns—including warm advection and limited cloud cover—align with these baselines, driving the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 26°C or above. Forecast models show minimal day-to-day variability this week, with no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. Historical data indicate that daily maxima below 26°C occur in fewer than 5% of mid-August cases, underscoring the consensus. Only an atypical, rapid intrusion of cooler polar air could realistically challenge this outcome before evening observations close the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$948結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETAugust's climatological norms for Jinan, Shandong, place typical daytime highs well above 30°C, supported by long-term observations from the China Meteorological Administration. On August 16, 2026, prevailing synoptic patterns—including warm advection and limited cloud cover—align with these baselines, driving the market-implied 100% probability for a high of 26°C or above. Forecast models show minimal day-to-day variability this week, with no incoming cold fronts or significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. Historical data indicate that daily maxima below 26°C occur in fewer than 5% of mid-August cases, underscoring the consensus. Only an atypical, rapid intrusion of cooler polar air could realistically challenge this outcome before evening observations close the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions