Tight competition among 33°C (23%), 34°C (24.5%), and 35°C or higher (24.5%) reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's April 18 high temperature, as Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance calls for hot, dry conditions persisting through the weekend amid low humidity and hazy skies. Recent peaks hit 39.5°C on April 13 from weakened sea breezes—cooler Arabian Sea onshore flows that typically moderate coastal highs by 2-4°C—but moderated to 34°C on April 15 with partial breeze recovery post-early April rains. Differentiating factors include sea breeze arrival timing, continental air advection, and minimal cloud cover potential from upper-level anticyclone dominance; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread around 33-35°C baselines matching April climatological norms of 33-34°C. PMD updates and new model runs tomorrow could shift trader sentiment on intensification risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 18?
34°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
12%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
18%
34°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 21%
35°C or higher 18%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
21%
32°C
12%
33°C
22%
34°C
32%
35°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Tight competition among 33°C (23%), 34°C (24.5%), and 35°C or higher (24.5%) reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's April 18 high temperature, as Pakistan Meteorological Department guidance calls for hot, dry conditions persisting through the weekend amid low humidity and hazy skies. Recent peaks hit 39.5°C on April 13 from weakened sea breezes—cooler Arabian Sea onshore flows that typically moderate coastal highs by 2-4°C—but moderated to 34°C on April 15 with partial breeze recovery post-early April rains. Differentiating factors include sea breeze arrival timing, continental air advection, and minimal cloud cover potential from upper-level anticyclone dominance; GFS and ECMWF ensembles show spread around 33-35°C baselines matching April climatological norms of 33-34°C. PMD updates and new model runs tomorrow could shift trader sentiment on intensification risks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions