Finalized observational data from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport meteorological station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 22°C, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability on this outcome with real capital at stake. This reflects mild spring conditions across central Spain, consistent with AEMET summaries showing nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria peaking at 21°C and Retiro at 19.9°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds, below seasonal averages influenced by neutral ENSO patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments are infrequent for finalized daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on April 30?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 30?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$176,796 交易量
$176,796 交易量
2026-04-30
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$176,796 交易量
$176,796 交易量
2026-04-30
17°C or below
$6,341 交易量
No
18°C
$4,910 交易量
No
19°C
$7,548 交易量
No
20°C
$10,268 交易量
No
21°C
$61,414 交易量
No
22°C
$18,298 交易量
Yes
23°C
$14,899 交易量
No
24°C
$18,904 交易量
No
25°C
$11,626 交易量
No
26°C
$10,764 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$11,823 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finalized observational data from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport meteorological station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 22°C, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability on this outcome with real capital at stake. This reflects mild spring conditions across central Spain, consistent with AEMET summaries showing nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria peaking at 21°C and Retiro at 19.9°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds, below seasonal averages influenced by neutral ENSO patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments are infrequent for finalized daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$176,796結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Finalized observational data from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport meteorological station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 22°C, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability on this outcome with real capital at stake. This reflects mild spring conditions across central Spain, consistent with AEMET summaries showing nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria peaking at 21°C and Retiro at 19.9°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds, below seasonal averages influenced by neutral ENSO patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments are infrequent for finalized daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$176,796結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 28, 2026, 2:38 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Finalized observational data from the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport meteorological station, as reported by Weather Underground, confirm the highest temperature on April 30, 2026, reached 22°C, driving Polymarket traders to a 100% implied probability on this outcome with real capital at stake. This reflects mild spring conditions across central Spain, consistent with AEMET summaries showing nearby stations like Ciudad Universitaria peaking at 21°C and Retiro at 19.9°C amid partly cloudy skies and moderate winds, below seasonal averages influenced by neutral ENSO patterns. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-processing revisions for sensor anomalies or quality control discrepancies, though such adjustments are infrequent for finalized daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions