Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 26?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 26?
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 交易量
$183,571 交易量
2026-04-26
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$183,571 交易量
$183,571 交易量
2026-04-26
73°F or below
$3,582 交易量
No
74-75°F
$1,815 交易量
No
76-77°F
$1,572 交易量
No
78-79°F
$4,939 交易量
No
80-81°F
$7,517 交易量
No
82-83°F
$9,001 交易量
No
84-85°F
$99,881 交易量
No
86-87°F
$22,617 交易量
Yes
88-89°F
$17,141 交易量
No
90-91°F
$8,119 交易量
No
92°F or higher
$7,386 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$183,571結束日期
2026-04-26市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$183,571結束日期
2026-04-26市場開放時間
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded the highest temperature of 87°F at 2:53 p.m. local time on April 26, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 86-87°F outcome as markets approach resolution. This peak, captured via automated surface observing system (ASOS) 1-minute measurements, aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from NOAA ensembles predicting mid-80s highs amid partly cloudy skies, sea breeze moderation, and scattered thunderstorms that capped further warming—conditions evident in real-time METAR reports showing temperatures dropping to the upper 70s by late afternoon. Slightly above the 85°F climatological normal for late April, the reading reflects typical subtropical patterns with low departure risk. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data audits or quality control revisions by NOAA, though historical precedent shows such adjustments affect less than 1% of daily records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions