Latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to Milan reaching peak highs of 36–38°C on July 29 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge driving subsidence warming, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover. This ongoing European heat dome, with temperatures already 8–12°C above seasonal normals, favors 34–35°C outcomes in the market while introducing uncertainty from potential afternoon convective cooling or slight timing shifts in maximum readings. Official measurements from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with traders closely tracking updated runs ahead of the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月29日米蘭的最高溫度?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,209 交易量
$50,209 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$50,209 交易量
$50,209 交易量
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 27, 2026, 4:04 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Latest forecast model consensus from sources like ECMWF and GFS points to Milan reaching peak highs of 36–38°C on July 29 under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge driving subsidence warming, clear skies, and minimal cloud cover. This ongoing European heat dome, with temperatures already 8–12°C above seasonal normals, favors 34–35°C outcomes in the market while introducing uncertainty from potential afternoon convective cooling or slight timing shifts in maximum readings. Official measurements from Milan’s meteorological stations will resolve the market, with traders closely tracking updated runs ahead of the weekend.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions