Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 9 point to a daytime high in the mid-80s, supported by southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating. Official guidance from Central Park and area airports clusters around 84-87°F, reflecting typical September variability where afternoon cloud build-up or earlier clearing can shift the peak by a degree or two. With market-implied odds nearly even between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in short-term model runs and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 86°F or below 82°F remain sidelined absent major forecast revisions before official observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月9日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月9日的最高溫度？
84-85°F 43%
82-83華氏度 42%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 5%
$31,285 交易量
$31,285 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
5%
82-83華氏度
42%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
8%
88-89華氏度
2%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F或更高
<1%
84-85°F 43%
82-83華氏度 42%
86-87°F 8%
80-81°F 5%
$31,285 交易量
$31,285 交易量
2026-09-09
華氏75度或以下
$440 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$429 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$947 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$2,900 交易量
5%
82-83華氏度
$6,621 交易量
42%
84-85°F
$9,218 交易量
43%
86-87°F
$5,801 交易量
8%
88-89華氏度
$1,667 交易量
2%
90-91°F
$1,245 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$1,039 交易量
<1%
94°F或更高
$977 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 9 point to a daytime high in the mid-80s, supported by southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating. Official guidance from Central Park and area airports clusters around 84-87°F, reflecting typical September variability where afternoon cloud build-up or earlier clearing can shift the peak by a degree or two. With market-implied odds nearly even between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in short-term model runs and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 86°F or below 82°F remain sidelined absent major forecast revisions before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ET
交易量
$31,285結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 9 point to a daytime high in the mid-80s, supported by southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating. Official guidance from Central Park and area airports clusters around 84-87°F, reflecting typical September variability where afternoon cloud build-up or earlier clearing can shift the peak by a degree or two. With market-implied odds nearly even between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in short-term model runs and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 86°F or below 82°F remain sidelined absent major forecast revisions before official observations finalize.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,285結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 2:55 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 9 point to a daytime high in the mid-80s, supported by southwest winds of 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph and partly cloudy skies that allow moderate solar heating. Official guidance from Central Park and area airports clusters around 84-87°F, reflecting typical September variability where afternoon cloud build-up or earlier clearing can shift the peak by a degree or two. With market-implied odds nearly even between the 82-83°F and 84-85°F bins, traders are pricing the genuine uncertainty in short-term model runs and boundary-layer mixing, while lower-probability outcomes above 86°F or below 82°F remain sidelined absent major forecast revisions before official observations finalize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions