Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (76%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies and a high near 73°F amid building high pressure over the eastern Pacific. Following a record-hot March—the warmest on record in the Bay Area—and a cold front that brought rain through early Thursday, drier offshore northerly winds at 9-18 mph are suppressing the marine layer, enabling above-normal temperatures that exceed April climatological averages of around 63°F. Model ensembles show consensus for peak heating in the afternoon, though microscale coastal effects could cap the high at 70-71°F (23.5% implied probability); real-time ASOS observations at SFO will resolve the market by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 73%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 7%
62-63°F 1.7%
$25,534 交易量
$25,534 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
26%
72°F or higher
71%
72°F or higher 73%
70-71°F 26%
68-69°F 7%
62-63°F 1.7%
$25,534 交易量
$25,534 交易量
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
26%
72°F or higher
71%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 72°F or higher (76%) for San Francisco International Airport's highest temperature today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of sunny skies and a high near 73°F amid building high pressure over the eastern Pacific. Following a record-hot March—the warmest on record in the Bay Area—and a cold front that brought rain through early Thursday, drier offshore northerly winds at 9-18 mph are suppressing the marine layer, enabling above-normal temperatures that exceed April climatological averages of around 63°F. Model ensembles show consensus for peak heating in the afternoon, though microscale coastal effects could cap the high at 70-71°F (23.5% implied probability); real-time ASOS observations at SFO will resolve the market by midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions