Trader consensus favors 78°F or higher at 59% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 79°F high amid a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific. This warming trend follows recent rain that interrupted a record-hot March—San Francisco's warmest on record—yielding clear skies, persistent offshore flow, and 850 mb temperatures of 12–15°C, 5–15°F above seasonal norms of around 63°F. Model guidance supports peak warmth Saturday–Sunday before slight cooling early next week, though marine layer redevelopment or ridge shifts could temper extremes; watch afternoon updates from NWS for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?
78°F or higher 57%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
27%
78°F or higher
57%
78°F or higher 57%
76-77°F 27%
74-75°F 12%
72-73°F 8%
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
27%
78°F or higher
57%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus favors 78°F or higher at 59% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 5, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a 79°F high amid a building high-pressure ridge over the eastern Pacific. This warming trend follows recent rain that interrupted a record-hot March—San Francisco's warmest on record—yielding clear skies, persistent offshore flow, and 850 mb temperatures of 12–15°C, 5–15°F above seasonal norms of around 63°F. Model guidance supports peak warmth Saturday–Sunday before slight cooling early next week, though marine layer redevelopment or ridge shifts could temper extremes; watch afternoon updates from NWS for refinements.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions