Recent forecast model runs from major agencies show Shanghai's June 26 daytime high most likely settling in the narrow 27–29 °C range under typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, with the 28 °C outcome edging ahead on the basis of ensemble means. Key differentiating variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates daytime solar heating and afternoon sea-breeze cooling from the East China Sea, plus variable low-level moisture that can either suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by a degree or two. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add a small but consistent positive bias to official station readings. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24–48 hours remain the next catalyst likely to shift the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日上海最高溫度？
6月26日上海最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$149,625 交易量
$149,625 交易量
2026-06-26
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$149,625 交易量
$149,625 交易量
2026-06-26
23°C or below
$2,940 交易量
No
24°C
$5,210 交易量
No
25°C
$12,450 交易量
No
26°C
$30,241 交易量
No
27°C
$34,139 交易量
Yes
28°C
$21,640 交易量
No
29°C
$13,534 交易量
No
30°C
$8,945 交易量
No
31°C
$5,042 交易量
No
32°C
$2,131 交易量
No
33°C或以上
$13,351 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major agencies show Shanghai's June 26 daytime high most likely settling in the narrow 27–29 °C range under typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, with the 28 °C outcome edging ahead on the basis of ensemble means. Key differentiating variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates daytime solar heating and afternoon sea-breeze cooling from the East China Sea, plus variable low-level moisture that can either suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by a degree or two. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add a small but consistent positive bias to official station readings. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24–48 hours remain the next catalyst likely to shift the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$149,625結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from major agencies show Shanghai's June 26 daytime high most likely settling in the narrow 27–29 °C range under typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, with the 28 °C outcome edging ahead on the basis of ensemble means. Key differentiating variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates daytime solar heating and afternoon sea-breeze cooling from the East China Sea, plus variable low-level moisture that can either suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by a degree or two. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add a small but consistent positive bias to official station readings. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24–48 hours remain the next catalyst likely to shift the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$149,625結束日期
2026-06-26市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecast model runs from major agencies show Shanghai's June 26 daytime high most likely settling in the narrow 27–29 °C range under typical early-summer East Asian monsoon conditions, with the 28 °C outcome edging ahead on the basis of ensemble means. Key differentiating variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which modulates daytime solar heating and afternoon sea-breeze cooling from the East China Sea, plus variable low-level moisture that can either suppress or enhance maximum temperatures by a degree or two. Urban heat-island effects around the city center add a small but consistent positive bias to official station readings. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24–48 hours remain the next catalyst likely to shift the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions