Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$231,907 交易量
$231,907 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$231,907 交易量
$231,907 交易量
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature today at 25°C under mostly clear skies and rising temperatures ahead of a weather front bringing rain tomorrow, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on this outcome. This positioning aligns with short-range numerical weather prediction models showing light winds and ample solar heating without excessive cloud cover, consistent with April climatological norms where daily highs average 24–25°C. Official station observations from CWA will resolve the market, typically measured at Taipei's urban monitoring sites. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat island amplification or prolonged sunshine pushing readings to 26°C, though model ensembles indicate low likelihood as the front nears by evening. Updated hourly forecasts expected throughout the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions