Stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow over central Poland are anchoring Warsaw’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 12, according to the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This setup favors gradual daytime heating under partly cloudy skies without significant warm-air advection, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C. Official observations through midday already track closely to this level, with minimal risk of convective development or stronger southerly winds that could push readings higher. The market’s near-certain pricing on 22°C reflects this tight model agreement and the day’s advanced stage. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or station-specific microclimate effects would realistically alter the outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日華沙的最高溫度？
8月12日華沙的最高溫度？
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,001 交易量
$32,001 交易量
2026-08-12
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,001 交易量
$32,001 交易量
2026-08-12
18°C or below
$308 交易量
No
19°C
$1,287 交易量
No
20°C
$2,741 交易量
No
21°C
$4,004 交易量
No
22°C
$6,032 交易量
Yes
23°C
$6,140 交易量
No
24°C
$4,254 交易量
No
25°C
$2,991 交易量
No
26°C
$2,943 交易量
No
27°C
$1,006 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$296 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow over central Poland are anchoring Warsaw’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 12, according to the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This setup favors gradual daytime heating under partly cloudy skies without significant warm-air advection, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C. Official observations through midday already track closely to this level, with minimal risk of convective development or stronger southerly winds that could push readings higher. The market’s near-certain pricing on 22°C reflects this tight model agreement and the day’s advanced stage. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or station-specific microclimate effects would realistically alter the outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$32,001結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow over central Poland are anchoring Warsaw’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 12, according to the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This setup favors gradual daytime heating under partly cloudy skies without significant warm-air advection, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C. Official observations through midday already track closely to this level, with minimal risk of convective development or stronger southerly winds that could push readings higher. The market’s near-certain pricing on 22°C reflects this tight model agreement and the day’s advanced stage. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or station-specific microclimate effects would realistically alter the outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32,001結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Stable high-pressure conditions and light northerly flow over central Poland are anchoring Warsaw’s maximum temperature near 22°C on August 12, according to the latest consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs. This setup favors gradual daytime heating under partly cloudy skies without significant warm-air advection, consistent with mid-August climatology where average highs reach 23–25°C. Official observations through midday already track closely to this level, with minimal risk of convective development or stronger southerly winds that could push readings higher. The market’s near-certain pricing on 22°C reflects this tight model agreement and the day’s advanced stage. Only an unexpected late surge in insolation or station-specific microclimate effects would realistically alter the outcome before official daily maximum reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions