Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 2?
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 交易量
$80,284 交易量
2026-06-02
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
Yes
20°C or higher 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$80,284 交易量
$80,284 交易量
2026-06-02
10°C or below
$347 交易量
No
11°C
$534 交易量
No
12°C
$277 交易量
No
13°C
$928 交易量
No
14°C
$6,928 交易量
No
15°C
$9,565 交易量
No
16°C
$7,705 交易量
No
17°C
$11,434 交易量
No
18°C
$11,901 交易量
No
19°C
$11,825 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$18,840 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$80,284結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$80,284結束日期
2026-06-02市場開放時間
May 31, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent northerly airflow and a persistent warm anomaly have driven maximum temperatures in Wellington well above seasonal norms, with official MetService observations already exceeding 19°C on June 1–2 and forecast highs reaching 19–20°C today. This aligns with the near-100% market-implied probability of 20°C or higher, reflecting real-time surface data and model consensus on sustained mild conditions atypical for early winter. Historical June averages hover near 13–14°C, underscoring the current deviation. A late-day cold front or stronger southerly shift could cap the peak below 20°C, though such developments appear unlikely before resolution based on the latest guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions