Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly or variable winds favoring radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 30°C create a typical early-autumn diurnal range, while the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late August moderate the low slightly above rural baselines. Historical averages for the date hover around 19°C, with recent synoptic patterns showing no strong cold advection or cloud cover that would push extremes lower or higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–20°C as models converge on these stable conditions ahead of the September 2 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日北京最低溫度?
13°C or below 56%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
18°C 44%
13°C or below
56%
14°C
45%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
46%
18°C
44%
19°C
41%
20°C
42%
21°C
19%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
40%
13°C or below 56%
17°C 46%
14°C 45%
18°C 44%
13°C or below
56%
14°C
45%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
46%
18°C
44%
19°C
41%
20°C
42%
21°C
19%
22°C
21%
23°C or higher
40%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature near 19°C for Beijing on September 2 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northerly or variable winds favoring radiative cooling overnight. Daytime highs near 30°C create a typical early-autumn diurnal range, while the urban heat island effect and residual warmth from late August moderate the low slightly above rural baselines. Historical averages for the date hover around 19°C, with recent synoptic patterns showing no strong cold advection or cloud cover that would push extremes lower or higher. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 17–20°C as models converge on these stable conditions ahead of the September 2 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions