Recent forecasts from AccuWeather, regional models, and other meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows of 29–31°C in Jeddah for August 21, reflecting typical Red Sea coastal humidity, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling during peak summer. This scientific consensus from official monitoring and ensemble predictions underpins the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for a 31°C minimum, as traders weigh real capital against verified temperature thresholds. Historical August averages near 30°C provide additional context, though short-term model updates on wind patterns or cloud cover could still introduce modest downward revisions before final observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達8月21日的最低溫度?
31°C 100.0%
29°C 1.0%
30°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$2,222 交易量
$2,222 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
29°C 1.0%
30°C 1.0%
25°C or below <1%
$2,222 交易量
$2,222 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from AccuWeather, regional models, and other meteorological sources consistently project overnight lows of 29–31°C in Jeddah for August 21, reflecting typical Red Sea coastal humidity, light winds, and minimal nocturnal cooling during peak summer. This scientific consensus from official monitoring and ensemble predictions underpins the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for a 31°C minimum, as traders weigh real capital against verified temperature thresholds. Historical August averages near 30°C provide additional context, though short-term model updates on wind patterns or cloud cover could still introduce modest downward revisions before final observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions