Current observational data from Shenzhen stations, including Bao'an Airport, record overnight lows near 26.6–27.8°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and high humidity (90–95%) driven by the East Asian monsoon. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, aligning with August climatology where average nighttime minima reach 26–27°C. Model consensus and real-time readings support the market's strong 27°C consensus, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or shift to drier air could allow brief additional cooling below 27°C, though ongoing convective activity makes this unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日深圳最低溫度?
27°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
23°C or below <1%
$6,613 交易量
$6,613 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 99.5%
25°C 1.0%
26°C 1.0%
23°C or below <1%
$6,613 交易量
$6,613 交易量
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current observational data from Shenzhen stations, including Bao'an Airport, record overnight lows near 26.6–27.8°C under persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and high humidity (90–95%) driven by the East Asian monsoon. These conditions suppress radiative cooling, aligning with August climatology where average nighttime minima reach 26–27°C. Model consensus and real-time readings support the market's strong 27°C consensus, reflecting trader assessment of stable atmospheric patterns. A sudden clearing of skies or shift to drier air could allow brief additional cooling below 27°C, though ongoing convective activity makes this unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions