Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Martha Fierro in the November general election for Texas's 29th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, heavily urban and minority voter composition in the Houston area, and Garcia's established incumbency and fundraising edge. The Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
民主黨
$4,332 交易量
95%
共和黨
$5,372 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Martha Fierro in the November general election for Texas's 29th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, heavily urban and minority voter composition in the Houston area, and Garcia's established incumbency and fundraising edge. The Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$9,704結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Martha Fierro in the November general election for Texas's 29th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, heavily urban and minority voter composition in the Houston area, and Garcia's established incumbency and fundraising edge. The Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-29 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,704結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Sylvia Garcia secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Martha Fierro in the November general election for Texas's 29th congressional district. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on its D+17 Partisan Voter Index, heavily urban and minority voter composition in the Houston area, and Garcia's established incumbency and fundraising edge. The Republican nominee has raised minimal funds and faces structural barriers in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these fundamentals. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though no such factors have emerged.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions