Florida's special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in early 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as secretary of state, facing a Democratic field that includes former National Security Council official Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody benefits from prior statewide victories as attorney general, established fundraising infrastructure, and Florida's consistent Republican performance in recent federal contests. Recent polling since March shows her leading hypothetical general-election matchups by mid-single to low-double digits. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the state's structural advantages for the party and the challengers' relative name-recognition gaps at this stage. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,952 交易量
$40,952 交易量
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$40,952 交易量
$40,952 交易量
共和党
$21,067 交易量
81%
民主党
$19,886 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in early 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as secretary of state, facing a Democratic field that includes former National Security Council official Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody benefits from prior statewide victories as attorney general, established fundraising infrastructure, and Florida's consistent Republican performance in recent federal contests. Recent polling since March shows her leading hypothetical general-election matchups by mid-single to low-double digits. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the state's structural advantages for the party and the challengers' relative name-recognition gaps at this stage. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$40,952市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in early 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as secretary of state, facing a Democratic field that includes former National Security Council official Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody benefits from prior statewide victories as attorney general, established fundraising infrastructure, and Florida's consistent Republican performance in recent federal contests. Recent polling since March shows her leading hypothetical general-election matchups by mid-single to low-double digits. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the state's structural advantages for the party and the challengers' relative name-recognition gaps at this stage. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$40,952市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's special Senate election features Republican incumbent Ashley Moody, appointed in early 2025 to complete Marco Rubio's term after his confirmation as secretary of state, facing a Democratic field that includes former National Security Council official Alex Vindman and state Representative Angie Nixon. Moody benefits from prior statewide victories as attorney general, established fundraising infrastructure, and Florida's consistent Republican performance in recent federal contests. Recent polling since March shows her leading hypothetical general-election matchups by mid-single to low-double digits. Primaries scheduled for August 18 and the November 3 general remain key upcoming milestones. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican, reflecting the state's structural advantages for the party and the challengers' relative name-recognition gaps at this stage. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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