Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent underpin the trader consensus favoring a Republican win in the 2026 special Senate election. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to fill Marco Rubio's vacancy after his resignation to become Secretary of State, leads recent polls by 3 to 11 points against likely Democratic nominees including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's consistent Republican performance at the federal level and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce these assessments. Primaries on August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, though no major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$40,205 交易量
$40,205 交易量
共和党
81%
民主党
18%
$40,205 交易量
$40,205 交易量
共和党
$20,592 交易量
81%
民主党
$19,613 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent underpin the trader consensus favoring a Republican win in the 2026 special Senate election. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to fill Marco Rubio's vacancy after his resignation to become Secretary of State, leads recent polls by 3 to 11 points against likely Democratic nominees including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's consistent Republican performance at the federal level and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce these assessments. Primaries on August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, though no major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$40,205市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent underpin the trader consensus favoring a Republican win in the 2026 special Senate election. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to fill Marco Rubio's vacancy after his resignation to become Secretary of State, leads recent polls by 3 to 11 points against likely Democratic nominees including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's consistent Republican performance at the federal level and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce these assessments. Primaries on August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, though no major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$40,205市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt in federal contests and Ashley Moody's position as the appointed incumbent underpin the trader consensus favoring a Republican win in the 2026 special Senate election. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to fill Marco Rubio's vacancy after his resignation to become Secretary of State, leads recent polls by 3 to 11 points against likely Democratic nominees including Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon. The state's consistent Republican performance at the federal level and limited Democratic infrastructure reinforce these assessments. Primaries on August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election, though no major developments have altered positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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