Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the special election context for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 2026 contest. Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody, drawing on her prior service as state attorney general, maintains polling leads of 7-8 points over leading Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon in most March-to-May surveys. Primaries scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the general election. The state's recent electoral patterns and Moody's established profile continue to shape market positioning, with limited recent developments altering the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$37,910 交易量
$37,910 交易量
共和党
82%
民主党
18%
$37,910 交易量
$37,910 交易量
共和党
$20,096 交易量
82%
民主党
$17,814 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the special election context for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 2026 contest. Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody, drawing on her prior service as state attorney general, maintains polling leads of 7-8 points over leading Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon in most March-to-May surveys. Primaries scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the general election. The state's recent electoral patterns and Moody's established profile continue to shape market positioning, with limited recent developments altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$37,910市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the special election context for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 2026 contest. Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody, drawing on her prior service as state attorney general, maintains polling leads of 7-8 points over leading Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon in most March-to-May surveys. Primaries scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the general election. The state's recent electoral patterns and Moody's established profile continue to shape market positioning, with limited recent developments altering the balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$37,910市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican-leaning electorate and the special election context for the seat vacated by Marco Rubio underpin the strong trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome in the November 2026 contest. Appointed incumbent Ashley Moody, drawing on her prior service as state attorney general, maintains polling leads of 7-8 points over leading Democratic primary contenders such as Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon in most March-to-May surveys. Primaries scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees ahead of the general election. The state's recent electoral patterns and Moody's established profile continue to shape market positioning, with limited recent developments altering the balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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