Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term, combined with Florida’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her substantial fundraising edge. Moody secured her party’s nomination with minimal opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon prevailed in an August primary upset over Alex Vindman but enters the November 3 contest as a progressive state representative facing structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent endorsements from Donald Trump and polling averages showing Moody ahead by roughly four to six points have reinforced trader expectations of a Republican hold. A late surge in Democratic turnout, major polling error, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the margin, though Moody’s position remains durable absent such developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$124,069 交易量
$124,069 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
91%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
10%
$124,069 交易量
$124,069 交易量
阿什莉·穆迪 (共和党)
$64,708 交易量
91%
安吉·尼克松（民主党）
$59,361 交易量
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term, combined with Florida’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her substantial fundraising edge. Moody secured her party’s nomination with minimal opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon prevailed in an August primary upset over Alex Vindman but enters the November 3 contest as a progressive state representative facing structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent endorsements from Donald Trump and polling averages showing Moody ahead by roughly four to six points have reinforced trader expectations of a Republican hold. A late surge in Democratic turnout, major polling error, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the margin, though Moody’s position remains durable absent such developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$124,069市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ashley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term, combined with Florida’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her substantial fundraising edge. Moody secured her party’s nomination with minimal opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon prevailed in an August primary upset over Alex Vindman but enters the November 3 contest as a progressive state representative facing structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent endorsements from Donald Trump and polling averages showing Moody ahead by roughly four to six points have reinforced trader expectations of a Republican hold. A late surge in Democratic turnout, major polling error, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the margin, though Moody’s position remains durable absent such developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$124,069市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETAshley Moody holds a commanding lead in the Florida Senate special election due to her status as the Republican incumbent appointed to complete Marco Rubio’s term, combined with Florida’s consistent Republican lean in recent cycles and her substantial fundraising edge. Moody secured her party’s nomination with minimal opposition, while Democrat Angie Nixon prevailed in an August primary upset over Alex Vindman but enters the November 3 contest as a progressive state representative facing structural headwinds in a state Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent endorsements from Donald Trump and polling averages showing Moody ahead by roughly four to six points have reinforced trader expectations of a Republican hold. A late surge in Democratic turnout, major polling error, or unexpected national shift could still narrow the margin, though Moody’s position remains durable absent such developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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