Florida's strong Republican tilt and the appointment of Attorney General Ashley Moody to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio's resignation to join the Trump administration drive the market's current trader consensus. Moody benefits from incumbency status and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, with early polling showing her ahead of Democratic contenders including Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon by margins consistent with the state's recent electoral history. The special election to complete the final two years of the term aligns with patterns in which appointed senators from the dominant party in Florida maintain substantial advantages, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any shifts in statewide turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,214 交易量
$38,214 交易量
共和党
82%
民主党
19%
$38,214 交易量
$38,214 交易量
共和党
$20,108 交易量
82%
民主党
$18,106 交易量
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's strong Republican tilt and the appointment of Attorney General Ashley Moody to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio's resignation to join the Trump administration drive the market's current trader consensus. Moody benefits from incumbency status and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, with early polling showing her ahead of Democratic contenders including Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon by margins consistent with the state's recent electoral history. The special election to complete the final two years of the term aligns with patterns in which appointed senators from the dominant party in Florida maintain substantial advantages, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any shifts in statewide turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$38,214市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's strong Republican tilt and the appointment of Attorney General Ashley Moody to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio's resignation to join the Trump administration drive the market's current trader consensus. Moody benefits from incumbency status and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, with early polling showing her ahead of Democratic contenders including Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon by margins consistent with the state's recent electoral history. The special election to complete the final two years of the term aligns with patterns in which appointed senators from the dominant party in Florida maintain substantial advantages, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any shifts in statewide turnout.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$38,214市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's strong Republican tilt and the appointment of Attorney General Ashley Moody to the seat vacated by Marco Rubio's resignation to join the Trump administration drive the market's current trader consensus. Moody benefits from incumbency status and name recognition ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election, with early polling showing her ahead of Democratic contenders including Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon by margins consistent with the state's recent electoral history. The special election to complete the final two years of the term aligns with patterns in which appointed senators from the dominant party in Florida maintain substantial advantages, though the outcome remains subject to primary results and any shifts in statewide turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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