Trader consensus clusters around 15–17°C for Ankara's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts averaging 15.8–16.5°C, with a tight spread of ±1.5°C reflecting model agreement on mild southerly flow overriding cooler continental air masses. This edges above the late-March climatological mean of 13–14°C, per Turkish State Meteorological Service records, due to high-pressure ridging enhancing afternoon solar heating under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing efficiency and cloud cover variability—persistent stratus could cap peaks at 15°C, while clearer conditions favor 17°C—amid low-confidence tails like 18°C+ from outlier dry advection. Official Ankara station observations will resolve, with 12Z model updates pivotal.