Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader sentiment toward a narrow cluster of 15-17°C for Ankara's March 27 high temperature, with 16°C leading at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions over central Turkey. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, where clearer skies could push toward 17°C while lingering low clouds favor 15°C; recent soundings show neutral stability. Historical March highs average 13°C, but positive anomalies from weakened polar vortex add upside risk, tightening odds as final Turkish MGM updates loom before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月27日安卡拉的最高温度?
3月27日安卡拉的最高温度?
16°C 30%
17°C 27%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
22%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
10%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C或更高
3%
16°C 30%
17°C 27%
15°C 22%
14°C 11%
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
11%
15°C
22%
16°C
30%
17°C
27%
18°C
10%
19°C
3%
20°C
4%
21°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive trader sentiment toward a narrow cluster of 15-17°C for Ankara's March 27 high temperature, with 16°C leading at 30.5% implied probability amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions over central Turkey. Differentiating factors include model divergences on boundary layer mixing and cloud cover, where clearer skies could push toward 17°C while lingering low clouds favor 15°C; recent soundings show neutral stability. Historical March highs average 13°C, but positive anomalies from weakened polar vortex add upside risk, tightening odds as final Turkish MGM updates loom before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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