Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and national agencies, indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Turkey will deliver mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 3, supporting a daily maximum near 30 °C at Ankara stations. This aligns with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C, while the 20.5 % on 31 °C and 17 % on 29 °C capture residual uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate effects. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heat or cooling fronts. No significant weather developments have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月3日安卡拉的最高温度？
30°C 55%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
20%
30°C
55%
31°C
20%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
31°C 20%
29°C 19%
28°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
25°C or below
$5 交易量
3%
26°C
$5 交易量
3%
27°C
$57 交易量
2%
28°C
$74 交易量
6%
29°C
$290 交易量
20%
30°C
$100 交易量
55%
31°C
$113 交易量
20%
32°C
$187 交易量
3%
33°C
$15 交易量
2%
34°C
$81 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and national agencies, indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Turkey will deliver mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 3, supporting a daily maximum near 30 °C at Ankara stations. This aligns with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C, while the 20.5 % on 31 °C and 17 % on 29 °C capture residual uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate effects. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heat or cooling fronts. No significant weather developments have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,072结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and national agencies, indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Turkey will deliver mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 3, supporting a daily maximum near 30 °C at Ankara stations. This aligns with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C, while the 20.5 % on 31 °C and 17 % on 29 °C capture residual uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate effects. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heat or cooling fronts. No significant weather developments have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the consensus range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,072结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and national agencies, indicate a stable high-pressure system over central Turkey will deliver mostly sunny skies, light northeasterly winds, and minimal cloud cover on September 3, supporting a daily maximum near 30 °C at Ankara stations. This aligns with the market’s leading 54.5 % implied probability for 30 °C, while the 20.5 % on 31 °C and 17 % on 29 °C capture residual uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate effects. Early-September climatology shows average highs of 26–28 °C, so current guidance reflects modestly above-normal warmth without extreme heat or cooling fronts. No significant weather developments have altered the outlook in the past 48 hours, keeping probabilities anchored to the consensus range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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