Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 1, 2026, from multiple sources including ensemble models and official outlooks, converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C under sunny skies with light westerly to northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Anatolian plateau, where high pressure and dry continental air masses typically suppress extreme deviations. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 30°C and 33.5% for 31°C captures the narrow uncertainty range in model outputs, with low odds on outliers driven by the absence of incoming frontal systems or anomalous heat advection through the forecast period. Updated runs closer to resolution may refine these probabilities if diurnal heating exceeds expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日安卡拉的最高温度？
9月1日安卡拉的最高温度？
30°C 63%
31°C 32%
29°C 7%
28°C 2%
最新
$16,515 交易量
最新
$16,515 交易量
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
63%
31°C
32%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 63%
31°C 32%
29°C 7%
28°C 2%
最新
$16,515 交易量
最新
$16,515 交易量
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$213 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,205 交易量
<1%
27°C
$537 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,544 交易量
2%
29°C
$2,765 交易量
7%
30°C
$3,542 交易量
63%
31°C
$3,675 交易量
32%
32°C
$1,692 交易量
1%
33°C
$868 交易量
<1%
34°C
$215 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$260 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 1, 2026, from multiple sources including ensemble models and official outlooks, converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C under sunny skies with light westerly to northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Anatolian plateau, where high pressure and dry continental air masses typically suppress extreme deviations. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 30°C and 33.5% for 31°C captures the narrow uncertainty range in model outputs, with low odds on outliers driven by the absence of incoming frontal systems or anomalous heat advection through the forecast period. Updated runs closer to resolution may refine these probabilities if diurnal heating exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$16,515结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 1, 2026, from multiple sources including ensemble models and official outlooks, converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C under sunny skies with light westerly to northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Anatolian plateau, where high pressure and dry continental air masses typically suppress extreme deviations. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 30°C and 33.5% for 31°C captures the narrow uncertainty range in model outputs, with low odds on outliers driven by the absence of incoming frontal systems or anomalous heat advection through the forecast period. Updated runs closer to resolution may refine these probabilities if diurnal heating exceeds expectations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$16,515结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on September 1, 2026, from multiple sources including ensemble models and official outlooks, converge on a maximum temperature of 29–30°C under sunny skies with light westerly to northerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with climatological norms for early September in the Anatolian plateau, where high pressure and dry continental air masses typically suppress extreme deviations. Trader consensus reflected in the 61.5% implied probability for 30°C and 33.5% for 31°C captures the narrow uncertainty range in model outputs, with low odds on outliers driven by the absence of incoming frontal systems or anomalous heat advection through the forecast period. Updated runs closer to resolution may refine these probabilities if diurnal heating exceeds expectations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题