National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 26, 2026, currently indicate a high near 84°F under southwest flow ahead of a frontal system, with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely after 4 p.m. and a 60% precipitation chance that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. Model consensus and recent NWS point forecasts place the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with climatological normals near 82°F and the observed pattern of warm advection tempered by lake influences and storm timing. These conditions explain the strong market concentration on 84-85°F and 82-83°F outcomes, as traders weigh the latest official guidance and any last-minute model shifts before resolution at the designated reporting station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日芝加哥的最高温度?
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 49%
82-83°F 30%
88-89°F 14%
80-81°F 13%
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
42%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
14%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 26, 2026, currently indicate a high near 84°F under southwest flow ahead of a frontal system, with afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely after 4 p.m. and a 60% precipitation chance that could moderate peak readings if convection develops earlier. Model consensus and recent NWS point forecasts place the daily maximum in the low-to-mid 80s, consistent with climatological normals near 82°F and the observed pattern of warm advection tempered by lake influences and storm timing. These conditions explain the strong market concentration on 84-85°F and 82-83°F outcomes, as traders weigh the latest official guidance and any last-minute model shifts before resolution at the designated reporting station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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