Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 6–12°C for Buenos Aires’s August 26 minimum, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates. Light southwesterly winds, variable high pressure, and possible thin cloud cover will modulate heat loss from the Río de la Plata-influenced boundary layer, while recent polar air intrusions have already lowered baseline temperatures several degrees below August climatology. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations emphasize that small shifts in dew point or wind speed near dawn can swing the low by 2–3°C, keeping multiple brackets competitive ahead of the final model runs and dawn verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
8月26日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度？
14°C或更高 49%
13°C 35%
8°C 26%
10°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
4°C或以下
19%
5°C
13%
6°C
25%
7°C
25%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
25%
13°C
35%
14°C或更高
49%
14°C或更高 49%
13°C 35%
8°C 26%
10°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-26
4°C或以下
$5 交易量
19%
5°C
$5 交易量
13%
6°C
$0 交易量
25%
7°C
$0 交易量
25%
8°C
$0 交易量
26%
9°C
$0 交易量
26%
10°C
$0 交易量
26%
11°C
$0 交易量
25%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$5 交易量
35%
14°C或更高
$5 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 6–12°C for Buenos Aires’s August 26 minimum, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates. Light southwesterly winds, variable high pressure, and possible thin cloud cover will modulate heat loss from the Río de la Plata-influenced boundary layer, while recent polar air intrusions have already lowered baseline temperatures several degrees below August climatology. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations emphasize that small shifts in dew point or wind speed near dawn can swing the low by 2–3°C, keeping multiple brackets competitive ahead of the final model runs and dawn verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent numerical weather prediction outputs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 6–12°C for Buenos Aires’s August 26 minimum, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates. Light southwesterly winds, variable high pressure, and possible thin cloud cover will modulate heat loss from the Río de la Plata-influenced boundary layer, while recent polar air intrusions have already lowered baseline temperatures several degrees below August climatology. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations emphasize that small shifts in dew point or wind speed near dawn can swing the low by 2–3°C, keeping multiple brackets competitive ahead of the final model runs and dawn verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-08-26市场开放时间
Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ETDivergent numerical weather prediction outputs from the ECMWF and GFS ensembles create the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 6–12°C for Buenos Aires’s August 26 minimum, reflecting uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling rates. Light southwesterly winds, variable high pressure, and possible thin cloud cover will modulate heat loss from the Río de la Plata-influenced boundary layer, while recent polar air intrusions have already lowered baseline temperatures several degrees below August climatology. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and station observations emphasize that small shifts in dew point or wind speed near dawn can swing the low by 2–3°C, keeping multiple brackets competitive ahead of the final model runs and dawn verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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