Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Houston overnight lows on August 26 will settle in the lower 80s amid a persistent heat dome, with highs near 100–102°F, southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph, and high dew points limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations show minimums holding at 78–82°F despite typical August climatology near 76°F, reflecting stronger-than-normal subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters on 80–81°F as the most probable bin because model guidance converges tightly around that range, while nearby 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capture minor spread from variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. Cooler bins below 76°F remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日休斯顿的最低温度?
80-81°F 57%
71°F或以下 49%
72-73°F 30%
78-79°F 27%
71°F或以下
49%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
19%
90°F或更高
26%
80-81°F 57%
71°F或以下 49%
72-73°F 30%
78-79°F 27%
71°F或以下
49%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
25%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
34%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
19%
90°F或更高
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service and ensemble forecasts indicate Houston overnight lows on August 26 will settle in the lower 80s amid a persistent heat dome, with highs near 100–102°F, southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph, and high dew points limiting radiational cooling. Recent observations show minimums holding at 78–82°F despite typical August climatology near 76°F, reflecting stronger-than-normal subtropical ridging and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Trader consensus clusters on 80–81°F as the most probable bin because model guidance converges tightly around that range, while nearby 78–79°F and 82–83°F outcomes capture minor spread from variations in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention. Cooler bins below 76°F remain improbable absent an unexpected frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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