Current forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 18°C for Toronto on August 26 under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly flow and only a 30% chance of overnight showers. This positioning reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 25°C and limited northerly advection of cooler air masses. Trader consensus splits between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees, while historical averages for the date hover near 17°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts for any revision in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日多伦多最低气温?
19°C或更高 92%
9°C或以下 85%
12°C 49%
10°C 41%
9°C或以下
85%
10°C
41%
11°C
41%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C或更高
92%
19°C或更高 92%
9°C或以下 85%
12°C 49%
10°C 41%
9°C或以下
85%
10°C
41%
11°C
41%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
25%
19°C或更高
92%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate a daily minimum temperature near 18°C for Toronto on August 26 under a mix of sun and cloud with light southerly flow and only a 30% chance of overnight showers. This positioning reflects typical late-summer radiative cooling moderated by residual warmth from daytime highs around 25°C and limited northerly advection of cooler air masses. Trader consensus splits between 19°C-or-higher and 9°C-or-below outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or dew-point depression can alter the overnight minimum by several degrees, while historical averages for the date hover near 17°C. Updated model runs and official briefings through the evening of August 25 remain the key near-term catalysts for any revision in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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