**Trader sentiment for Dallas's August 26 low temperature remains closely balanced, with outcomes clustered between the upper 70s and mid-80s reflecting model uncertainty in overnight cooling.** August climatology for Dallas shows typical overnight lows near 75–77°F, but persistent summer heat and high humidity often elevate them into the upper 70s or low 80s, especially under light winds and urban heat-island effects. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to partly cloudy to clear conditions with lows forecast in the 78–83°F range, driven by south-southeast flow and limited radiative cooling. Any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could suppress the minimum, while clearer skies and drier air would push it higher. The near-even probabilities across 79°F or below, 80–85°F, and adjacent bins capture this narrow forecast spread, as small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter the observed low by several degrees before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日达拉斯最低气温?
98°F或更高 82%
96-97°F 77%
94-95°F 76%
80-81°F 44%
华氏79度或更低
43%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
76%
96-97°F
77%
98°F或更高
82%
98°F或更高 82%
96-97°F 77%
94-95°F 76%
80-81°F 44%
华氏79度或更低
43%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
44%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
40%
88-89°F
44%
90-91°F
44%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
76%
96-97°F
77%
98°F或更高
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment for Dallas's August 26 low temperature remains closely balanced, with outcomes clustered between the upper 70s and mid-80s reflecting model uncertainty in overnight cooling.** August climatology for Dallas shows typical overnight lows near 75–77°F, but persistent summer heat and high humidity often elevate them into the upper 70s or low 80s, especially under light winds and urban heat-island effects. Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to partly cloudy to clear conditions with lows forecast in the 78–83°F range, driven by south-southeast flow and limited radiative cooling. Any increase in cloud cover or moisture from distant tropical influences could suppress the minimum, while clearer skies and drier air would push it higher. The near-even probabilities across 79°F or below, 80–85°F, and adjacent bins capture this narrow forecast spread, as small shifts in dew points or wind speed can alter the observed low by several degrees before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题