Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and local models points to an overnight low near 58°F in Seattle on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with typical late-summer marine influences that moderate radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for 3–5°F deviations depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-50°F outliers and warmer scenarios above 65°F. Historical August lows average 56°F with low variability absent strong frontal passages, and the absence of significant model updates in the past 24 hours sustains the equilibrium across resolution bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日西雅图最低气温?
58-59°F 51%
56-57°F 50%
50-51°F 35%
66-67°F 33%
49°F或更低
14%
50-51°F
35%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
50%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
33%
68°F或更高
20%
58-59°F 51%
56-57°F 50%
50-51°F 35%
66-67°F 33%
49°F或更低
14%
50-51°F
35%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
15%
56-57°F
50%
58-59°F
51%
60-61°F
25%
62-63°F
18%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
33%
68°F或更高
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from the National Weather Service and local models points to an overnight low near 58°F in Seattle on August 26 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow, consistent with typical late-summer marine influences that moderate radiative cooling. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because ensemble spreads show potential for 3–5°F deviations depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects, keeping probabilities balanced between sub-50°F outliers and warmer scenarios above 65°F. Historical August lows average 56°F with low variability absent strong frontal passages, and the absence of significant model updates in the past 24 hours sustains the equilibrium across resolution bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题