Persistent high pressure over Texas has sustained a multi-day heat wave across Houston, with recent highs of 99–101°F and NWS forecasts for August 26 centering on 100–102°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dew points near 70°F. Low rain chances (under 10%) and strong subsidence limit cloud cover and convective cooling, favoring the upper end of the 98–101°F range. Minor model differences in afternoon mixing depth, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between the leading 100–101°F (41.5%) and 98–99°F (35.5%) bins. Latest guidance and any adjustments from the Houston/Galveston NWS office will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日休斯顿的最高温度?
100-101°F 51%
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 51%
98-99°F 36%
96-97°F 14%
102-103°F 6%
91°F or below
1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
14%
98-99°F
36%
100-101°F
42%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
1%
110°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure over Texas has sustained a multi-day heat wave across Houston, with recent highs of 99–101°F and NWS forecasts for August 26 centering on 100–102°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly flow, and dew points near 70°F. Low rain chances (under 10%) and strong subsidence limit cloud cover and convective cooling, favoring the upper end of the 98–101°F range. Minor model differences in afternoon mixing depth, exact wind speeds, and boundary-layer moisture explain the tight split between the leading 100–101°F (41.5%) and 98–99°F (35.5%) bins. Latest guidance and any adjustments from the Houston/Galveston NWS office will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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