Official forecasts from Environment Canada call for a high of 25°C in Toronto on August 26 under a mix of sun and cloud, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus around that outcome. Numerical weather models show modest spread, with some runs indicating afternoon peaks near 23–24°C due to greater cloud cover while others allow brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer variability in the Great Lakes region, where daytime maxima depend sensitively on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated model guidance and any Environment Canada forecast revisions issued overnight will be the next key data points that could shift probabilities among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月26日多伦多气温最高?
25°C 37%
26°C 31%
24°C 14%
27°C 12%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
37%
26°C
31%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
25°C 37%
26°C 31%
24°C 14%
27°C 12%
20°C or below
4%
21°C
4%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
37%
26°C
31%
27°C
12%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 24, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada call for a high of 25°C in Toronto on August 26 under a mix of sun and cloud, with light southerly winds and minimal precipitation risk, anchoring trader consensus around that outcome. Numerical weather models show modest spread, with some runs indicating afternoon peaks near 23–24°C due to greater cloud cover while others allow brief clearing that could push readings to 26°C. This narrow range reflects typical late-summer variability in the Great Lakes region, where daytime maxima depend sensitively on boundary-layer mixing and insolation. Updated model guidance and any Environment Canada forecast revisions issued overnight will be the next key data points that could shift probabilities among the closely matched 24–26°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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